Sabtu, 18 Juli 2009

Analysis tehnical

As we know that there are two analysis used in forex trading or fundamental analysis of the impact of the economic policy of a country (news) and the second is the technical analysis or technical analysis is. On this page we will see some of the technical indicators are quite popular to use.

Technical indicators or technical indicator is a mathematical calculation to the manipulate the price or volume to estimate the price change will come. Decision at the right time to buy and sell can be determined from the signal given by this technical indicator. Appropriate function, the technical indicators is divided into two namely Trends and Indicators oscillator. Trend indicators can help us to estimate the price direction and detect when the price will turn. While the oscillator is approximately is used to determine the time-reversal price only. (Trend indicators help to Assess the price direction and detect the moments turn synchronously or with a delay. Oscillators allow to find the turning moments ahead or synchronously.)

Among other things we will see is:

1. Brain Trading
2. Winning Solution

3. Parabolic SAR
4. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
5. Relative Strength Index (RSI)


Brain Trading

Indicator is still diperjual with the sale price of $ 250 or approximately Rp. 2.5 million. However, many are now circulating on the internet (although the lag version) without having to buy it. The latest version of the principle is the same with the previous version, only dipermanis only. We can not be told until the indicator% accuracy, but after you install to a folder in the folder indicator expert from Meta Trader 4 (Mt4), you can see the rolls back to the chart.

Conformity is the emergence of signal dot and arrows at the same time. Red dot and the arrow means that the signal down, the blue dot and the arrow means that the signal increases. Signal conformity is usually a result of changes in the large a longer period. For example, in conformity signal appears in the H1 period (daily), changes in price can be much greater than in conformity with the signal that appears on the m15 (15 minutes). Note: Not all price changes with the emergence of signal didahului Brain Trading this. Site braintrading.com.


Winning Solution

Winning Solution System, which can be divided only for the free version only. Install it on your demo account to avoid the things that are not desired. Who can have insertion script that you do not know, and disrupt your account. So install the demo account and real action on your account. In the demo account can be open in northfinance.com metaquotes.net mdicorps.com etc..

Indicator is sold with three kinds of prices. 14 day trial price of $ 11, silver prices (6 months) and $ 66 price of Gold (Full Version) $ 110.

You do not need to ask how to use this indicator. This indicator will spoil you because he will provide alerts to you. When the price enters the blue BUY signal then immediately exit. Meanwhile, when the price of entering the red signal is SELL akan keluar. You need to do is wait for the signal is out and open positions BUY or SELL according to the recommendations of this WSS. Signal out the form and tone alert pop up window along with the data BUY or SELL with data Stop Loss and Take Profit! You are not spoiled? Following the alert from this indicator seems able to give you over 1000 pips per month! Selamat mencoba. Site-winning solution.net.


Parabolic SAR

Parabolic SAR Technical Indicator was developed for analyzing the trending markets. This indicator stick on the price chart. Indicator is below the price increase if the trend (Up Trend), and if the trend weakened (Down Trend), it is in the top of the price.

If the price to meet the parabolic SAR, akan indicator switch. Maximum or minimum price at the time indicator is moved early (starting point) of the trend changes.

Parabolic SAR is a very good indicator to determine the time out of the market. Position Long (Buy) should be closed when the indicator is moved to the top of the price. On the position of Short (Sell) should be closed when the indicator is moved to the bottom of the price. Stop what you are trailing? This indicator is often in some cases act as a trailing Stop.

If the long position (buy) is open (eg, the price above the SAR), the parabolic SAR akan increase, without considering which direction to move the price. The length of the SAR depends on the scale of price movements.

Calculation
SAR (i) = SAR (i-1) + acceleration * (EPRICE (i-1)-SAR (i-1))

Where:
SAR (i-1) - the value indicator on the previous bar;
Acceleration - akselarasi factors;
EPRICE (i-1) - the highest price (lowest) from the previous period (EPRICE = HIGH for long and EPRICE = LOW for short).

Indicator values will increase if the price on the bar at this time is higher than the previous price and the indicator value will be reduced at this time if the price is lower than the previous bar.


Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

Technical Indicator Ichimoku Kinko Hyo this, very good. It can show trends in the market, level of Support and Resistance, and at once gave BUY or SELL signal. This indicator works best on the Daily chart period (H1) and Weekly (W1).

Definition of this indicator is rather complicated, but it is important that we target how to use it. Read: When the definition of dimensional parameters, used 4 times with long intervals different. Value of each line is based on indikcator interval 4 below:

° Tenkan-sen: to demonstrate the value of the average price during the first interval didivinisikan as the number of maximum and minimum during this period divided by two);

° Kijun-sen: to demonstrate the average price in the second interval;

° Senkou Span A: to demonstrate the distance between the two lines moved to the front of the previous value of the second interval;

° Senkou Span B: Showing the average price in the third interval digeser to the front of the second interval;

Senkou distance between A and B Senkou and diarsir called cloud or "cloud". If the price is in the cloud, the konsider that market trends are not there, while the cloud top and the bottom line is support and resistance levels at that time.

° If the price is above the cloud line into the top support level 1 and a second line support level 2;

° If the price is below the cloud line into the bottom 1 and the resistance level above the resistance level to be 2;

° Chinkou Span shows the closing price at this time digeser candle to the back of the second interval.

° BUY: If a line across the chart Chinkou Span prices from the top to the bottom is the signal to buy.

° SELL: If a line across the chart Chinkou Span prices from the top to the bottom is the signal to sell.

Kijun-sen (blue) is used as an indicator the market movement. If the price is greater than this indicator, the price will likely continue to rise. When the price crosses this line then it is likely that the trend will soon change.

The Kijun-sen (blue) can also provide this signal:)

° BUY: Signal appears when the buy-Tenkan cents (red) across the line Kijun-sen (blue) from the bottom to the top!

° SELL: Sell Signal appears when the sen-Tenkan this (red) across the line Kijun-sen (blue) direction from top to bottom!

Tenkan-sen (red) is used as the indicator trends. If the line is down or rising trend indicates that there is at that time. But if this horizontal line is the price to sign contest:) (When it goes horizontally, it means that the market has come into the channel.

indicator for the Forex

Finding a good indicator for the Forex ... Is there?

Basically, all the existing forex indicator is very adequate to predict movements in prices. Often only, you do not know when an indicator is used. I mean, a particular indicator has a different function with the other indicators. For instance, if you force the use diversified trend following indicators on the market that are currently ranging then you will not even get accurate signals so you can be trapped. Conversely, if you use the indicator on the oscillator are trending of the market will also provide similar results. I have some useful tips on how to use the indicator appropriately. Please your knowledge of the following:

1. Identify the market situation. This absolutely must be done before you select an indicator. I am sure you already understand that is not all indicators can be applied to any type of market. You already know that when markets are trending trader should use trend following indicators, while at the market are ranging, traders should use oscillator indicators.
2. Customize your Technical Trading. You choose the technical trading "breakout system" or "pullback system". Both of these techniques can be applied in markets that are trending and ranging. But you must notice that in the technical breakout system akan less good if you use oscilator indicators. Alternatively use indicators such as trend line or moving average. So far I like the indicator oscilator awesome oscillator, RSI, and others are very good if used for technical pullback. You may combination the moving average and fibonacci formula only if the conditions in the market trending.
3. Indicators you. Whatever your favorite indicators, he can not be alone. trading signal is much more accurate if you combination with other indicators. That needs to synergize in this indicator is both should support each other. Easy to do, not the combining of two or more indicators of different functions and uses. If you do that, believe you will be confused because it made a trading signal generated is not consistent. Take an example, put the indicator and the stochastic oscilator moving average chart in MetaTrader you. See when the moving average over the (signal trend up - get open), but sometimes shows stochastic is overbought conditions (above level 80). You dare to buy? I am sure you will doubt, is not it?

Okay, I hope these three simple tips can be useful. The need to always remember is that forex is not exact sciences, so you will not find the magic formula that can be applied as in mathematics. Rule does not apply if it so well. Forex more appropriate if disikapi as art, the art of probability. Whatever indicator you choose and the strategy or technique that you apply, they all die on the question how many percent level probabilitasnya. Although this is also how many percent can not be measured in quantitative, but the way the selection of appropriate indicators will be able to increase your level of qualitative probability. How do you think?

The Mental Attitude Must Owned By Each Candidate Trader / Investor

Actual mental attitudes such as that which must be belongs to (prospective) trader / investor to be able to successfully business forex.

"Creator Rules" or "offender Rules"

Freedom of the paradox. This means the more people want free, the more he must also comply with a series of rules. Life is full of small rules we must begin to comply with the rules of parents, school rules, driving rules, and state law. We must live so that our compliance and regular free. What happens if we violate these rules, of which the freedom of our bets. Or at least disrupt the freedom of others.

Forex trading also requires us to comply with a series of rules. Whatever the father / mother does not learn forex related more is to understand the rules that apply in this business. Fundamental analysis, there are many rules as economic news. If demand increases then the currency will be good, for example. Also in technical analysis. Father / mother learn to read charts, identify patterns Candlestick, formula-fibonacci formula, technical indicators to study and others is that all the rules that must be understood. Make a trading plan, a strategy and trading techniques are examples of other forms of regulation. But what does it mean to learn and make the rules if it's all basically the father / mother is the "offender rules'? Will be futile if all of that will are, is not it? Make sure that the father / mother has a mental attitude "of the rules" and is committed to compliance. Successful traders are those who hold the rules and apply them in trading. Conversely, many fail due to a lack of commitment 'to follow the rule'.

"Whether the listener" or "the listener Bad"

Whether the father / mother talk like other people chime in? Menginsterupsi person being told something so destructive, so the topic for discussion? If so, the suggestion I should be careful. Habits can be brought into the trading habit and cause a lack of good risk.

At the time of our trading, we are actually listening to a story. Namely "the market story" told by the graph. He spoke about the market, market psychology, the condition of the power buyer and seller, that is all we have to listen to good things. We should be able to catch the story-the story so that we understand what is happening in the market. Being a good listener means we focus on what we are facing, namely market. I able to focus without it is impossible we can be successful in this business, also business or the other.

"Controlling emotions" or "be emotional"

People in financial success is always capable of making decisions without involving the business emosinya. May believe or not, business is not more successful is to make decisions without the emotional and run it economically sensible. On the failure of a business can begin going out of decisions that are not reasonable and very emotional. Take for example, with retaining productive employees is not only because we like it would cause socio-economic impact that is not good and are at risk, is not it?.

Especially in the forex trading. There is a jargon that the enemy we are trading ourselves. That is not our emotions is another. Trading is encouraged because we "like" trading, or position because the incoming mental want revenge on the previous loss of highly at risk. Trader prosecuted for professional and able to make the decision that intelligent, logical, and without emotional. If the father / mother is controlled by emotions when trading, the possibility of losing money is very large. Trader who is always able to successfully control emosinya, the trader who fail are controlled by emotions.

"Scared wrong" or "tolerate error"

All people make mistakes, but wise people always learn from mistakes. Error showed on our part which need to be corrected. Without error, we can be impossible to know we lack. Did the father / mother the biggest mistake in life? That was when we avoid the situation that we may be wrong. Powerful people are those who dare to take risks even if the decision wrong. Powerful people make mistakes more than the weak. Strong people ready to err, laugh, learn from it, and therefore become increasingly strong.

In forex trading, there is no one who is always orangpun correct in analyzing the market. Risk kesalahanpun feels poignant because that means loss of investment. But professional traders know what to do with the error for the error that occurred. He is learning and improving the strategy tradingnya. Error is therefore the teacher must learn so that it does not make us despair and depression. If the father / mother is prepared to tolerate mistakes trading, then it will become a very valuable capital to achieve success in this business.

"Focus on the Future" or "Focus on The Past"

What father / mother lost something? I mean something that is very valuable in life, which caused the error itself? I believe that each person had mengalaminya, in a measure that is different. Perhaps the form of money, people who loved, property, opportunities, and so forth. No problem. The problem is how long time terbuang blame for these errors. How severe the father / mother's ashes with berandai hold-if the case does not so if not so. If the father / mother have a mental attitude as my suggestion is do not try investing in forex, because it does not match.

Among the ten trading time could be three or four times we are wrong, and result in losses that are not small. Trader who is always able to successfully break away from past attitudes regret. He will return the focus to the next trading. Contemplate the future. No-burdened mental berandai suppose that is not necessary, even if that happens next trading can be dangerous.

How to Calculate & Using Pivot Point, Support and Resistance

In the world of trading we often hear or see the word Pivot Point, Support and Resistance. However, if we know how to calculate and use it?. Here's how I write, and calculate the Pivot point, support and resistance.

Pivot Point
Is how the calculation for determining the Support (under the limit) and Resistance (limit up). Is the result of the division's point of Answer (open), the highest price (high), the lowest price (low), and the closing price (close) the transaction the previous day. Pivot point is valid since pk.0.00 (12 nights) or around the time the server pk.4.00 WIB (GMT +7) s / d pk.23.59.

-> Pivot Point = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4

Support
Is the bottom line on the day the transaction is expected when the price reaches the support sdh, the price will be turned back over. However, when a strong trend decline, the price / trend will penetrate the first line support (Sup.1) towards the next support line (Sup.2).

-> Support 1 = (2 x Pivot Point) - High
-> Support 2 = Pivot Point - (High - Low)

Resistance
Is the line up on the day the transaction is expected when the price reaches the sdh resistance, then the price will turn back down. However, when the rising trend menguat, the price / trend line resistance will be cut through the first (Res.1) Resistance to the next line (Res.2).

-> Resistance 1 = (2 x Pivot Point) - Low
-> Resistance 2 = Pivot Point + (High - Low)

So how to use and calculate the Pivot point, support and resistance from me, I hope can be useful for all prospective trader / investor.

Premium interest rate or swap

When our trading we will not be separated from the interest rate applicable in a country. Determines the interest rate of a country's central bank held by each state and the interest rate from the central bank is what will be the reference interest rate premium or swap this.

Eg we akan bertrading with pair GBP / USD. Bank of England as the central Bank of England and central banks the Fed is the United States. Interest rate that is used for a year.

Think of GBP akan menguat against USD in the long term, so that you open Buy GBP / USD position floating in 1-3 days ahead, ie you open a position with the lot in 1 Mini Account.

You can ensure that the position Buy 1 lot GBP / USD will get a premium interest rate / interest rate swap as higher UK interest rates from the United States. Current column for the Bank of England Rate 1.0% and in the Current Rate is the Federal Reserve of 0.25%.

For daily swap (interest rate premium) Buy GBPUSD position is as follows:

Note the interest rate per year, England (BoE) is 1.0% and, the interest rate per year, United States (Fed) is 0.25%.

* Formula theoretical interest premium / per day swap is as follows: *

* Pair A / B - Buy Position: *

((A state interest rate - Interest rate of B) x% x No. of Lot
Contract Size) / 365 days

* Pair A / B - Sell Position: *

((Interest rate of B - Interest rate of A) x% x No. of Lot
Contract Size) / 365

* So to Buy 1 lot of GBP / USD is: *

((Interest rate of the UK - interest rate American countries)% x 1 x
10,000) / 365

= ((1-0.25) x 1% x 10,000) / 365 = 75 / 365

= $ 0.2 per day for 1 lot.

So for each lot position Buy GBP / USD akan MENERIMA * $ 0.2 per day *

* Conversely, if the position to Sell GBP / USD for more than 1
PAY akan day swap of $ 0.2 per lot it .*

For the standard account (contract 100000) multiplied by 10 to stay. Not easy?

Next determine the size of the premium or interest rate swap is a policy that applies to each broker. Broker is different size of the provision of more interest rate swap and premiun this. You can see its own, or ask at the CS broker concerned how large or small interest rate swap premium in effect on the broker of your choice.

How Tehnikal Analysis

In fact in many ways to analyze the price tehnikal, there is a better indicator tehnikal thousands and hundreds of patterns of movement have been identified, the trader would not be possible to use it all in the same time. However, the outline Tehnikal Analysis based on 3 things, namely:

1. Discount Price Everything (everything set price)

Prices that occur at this time fully reflect all information from all participants including the Trader, Investor, Portfolio Manager, Buyer Analist, Analist Seller, Market Strategy and the stakeholders of the price, and represents a reasonable price and ideal. Tehnikal analysis using all the information that has been written in the price to interpret what happens in the market price established in the future.

2. Price movements

Price movement divided into 2, namely, "Trend" and "Random", the general price movement is dominated by movement of either the rising trend or down, but there are some periods where prices move Random or establish a certain range. In identifying a trend is usually used techniques "Break-Out", or if the previous movement 'Random' and out of the price range is Random.

3. Focus on price

In analyzing the tehnikal have two things to note;

1) Price is happening at this time

2) Historikal price movement
Price is the result of war between supply and demand. Tehnikal target analysis is to predict the direction of price movement will come at the price and focus not on what menggerakan price. Unlike the fundamental analysis that focuses on the formation of prices.

Analysts Sederhananya when asked about why tehnical Price Increases?, It will only be answered easily, because the buyers more than the Seller and achieve in the price.

Based on the third of these, tehnikal analysis is done of course with the tools to identify other bantu and price movements to predict the future.

7 +1 habits INDEX IN TRADING

  1. Decide how you want to pts profit or happiness.
  2. If the market does not like expectations or your analysis, decide how many pts cut in accordance with the loss of your funds. Calculate with YOUR RISK. Do not sacrifice the other party is not guilty.
  3. Make sure the funds you can cut your loss for a period of at least 20 trading days or 1, at least 10 trading period.
  4. Limit yourself in the market entry or exit ber trading frequency. My advice, trading up to 2x in 1 day = 2 trading sessions.
  5. Limit the amount of lot that you want to trade right, adjust the amount of funds cut your loss.
  6. Do not bring emotions as greedy and hope in the trading. When you experience stress or have emotional before trading, you should move back. Do not have to chase each deposit attitude either loss or have already hit a lot. You play stock, not nyetir Metro Mini!
  7. Record the back of your transaction, complete with profit / loss and the accumulation of profit / loss. Create in Excel and create graphed, updated every day so that you know your position.
  8. Do not search scapegoat. Do not blame market, do not blame your partner. High. Learn to be responsible and self-confessed error. That way you will learn from your mistakes and are more careful in the next trading.